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本文主要讨论了多状态生命表法在老年人健康预期寿命研究中的应用。估算健康预期寿命的方法主要有两种:Sullivan法和多状态生命表法。Sullivan法在方法论上存在局限,估算出的健康预期寿命有偏差,需要新的方法来改进。多状态生命表法就是改进的新方法。本文介绍了多状态生命表法,并以北京老年病医疗研究中心组织实施的北京老龄化多维纵向调查数据,用多状态生命表法计算了老年人的平均预期生活自理能力寿命。
This article mainly discusses the application of multi-state life table method in the study of elderly healthy life expectancy. There are two main methods for estimating healthy life expectancy: the Sullivan method and the multi-state life table method. Sullivan’s method has limitations in methodology. The estimated health life expectancy is biased and new methods are needed to improve. The multi-state life table method is a new method of improvement. This article introduced the multi-state life table method and used the multi-state life table method to calculate the life expectancy of the elderly on the basis of the aging multidimensional longitudinal survey data of Beijing Aging Medical Research Center.