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“得江山易,守江山难……”——朱芳雨的博客日记。芳雨说得不错,这句流行rN年的名言正是卫冕冠军广东宏远处境的真实写照。前两个赛季,广东宏远拿下两届总冠军,他们也成了全联盟的众矢之的,再加上CBA总冠军的分量越来越重,冠军队不仪能得到全联盟的尊重,而且队员还能带上至高荣耀的的钻戒,所以CBA每支有竞争能力的俱乐部都不会轻言放弃。宏远的卫冕之旅也就一年比一年难。有人说,宏远已经拥有了难以撼动的绝对实力,卫冕也只是时间的问题。此话小假, 本赛季至今他们已经取得了36胜3负的好成绩,主场18连胜也未尝败绩,所以担心他们阴沟里翻船实在有些杞人忧天。不过,事情并非想象得这么简单。从年龄结构上分析,宏远还是一支年轻球队,犯错在所难免,虽然他们只输过三场比赛,但是每场失利都把自己的致命弱点——后卫线的薄弱暴露得清清楚楚。在相互摸底的常规赛,这些弱点可能无关大局,但是到了真刀真枪的季后赛,这些弱点可能成为他们马失前蹄的致命要害。一支球队能否夺冠,通常取决于四个因素:实力、经验、信念和阵容。平心分析,广东宏远已经在三项上绝对占先,尚有一项处于劣势。也就是说,他们现在已经拥有了75％的卫冕机率,25％还属变数。
“Have easy to Jiangshan, Jiangshan difficult ......” - Zhu Fangyu blog diary. Fang Yu speaks well, this famous phrase rN years is the true portrait of defending champion Guangdong Hongyuan situation. The first two seasons, Guangdong Hongyuan won two championships, they also became the targets of the league, plus the weight of the CBA championship more and more, the championship team does not mean to receive the league’s respect, and team members But also bring the highest honor diamond ring, so every CBA competitive club will not give up. Hongyuan defending tour also difficult year after year. Some people say that Hongyuan already has the unshaken power, defending is only a matter of time. This is a small holiday, so far this season they have achieved 36 wins and 3 losses in the good results, home winning streak has not yet failed, 18, so worried that they capsize the capsizing is somewhat unfounded. However, things are not as easy to imagine. From the age structure analysis, Hongyuan is still a young team, mistakes are inevitable, although they lost only three games, but each defeat put their own fatal weakness - weakness of the back line exposed clearly. In the regular season, these weaknesses may not matter, but to the playoffs, these weaknesses may become their fatal deadly key. A team can win, usually depends on four factors: strength, experience, beliefs and lineup. Pingxin analysis, Guangdong Hongyuan has absolute priority in the three, there is one at a disadvantage. In other words, they now have a 75% chance of defending, and 25% are still variable.