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本研究发展并检验了诱导创新假说。揭示欠发达经济在依靠技术引进启动现代制造技术发展的背景下,生产要素相对价格诱导技术变迁偏向的机制。为验证假说,研究中选取了1992-2006年全国、安徽省、广东省的制造业相关数据,采用SUR方法估计与超越对数成本函数相对应的成本份额方程,并计算要素相对价格不变下的劳动、资本、能源要素的投入比例,得出结果认为,安徽省制造业由于工业化发展层次较低不具备诱导创新假说成立的条件,而广东省及全国总体制造业支持诱导创新假说。在此基础上,本研究认为我国应该实行控制工资-利率低速稳定增长、适当提高能源价格、加大科教投入、完善要素市场等政策,以促进技术变迁偏向更好地适应要素禀赋特征。
This study develops and tests the hypothesis of inducing innovation. Reveals the underdeveloped economy in the context of the introduction of technology to start the development of modern manufacturing technology, the relative price of production factors to induce technological change bias mechanism. In order to verify the hypothesis, the study selected the manufacturing-related data from 1992 to 2006 in China, Anhui Province and Guangdong Province, and used the SUR method to estimate the cost-share equation corresponding to the trans-log cost function, and calculated the change in the relative price of the factor Of labor, capital and energy. The conclusion is that the manufacturing industry in Anhui Province does not have the conditions to establish innovation hypotheses because of the low level of industrialization development, while the manufacturing industries in Guangdong Province and China as a whole support the innovation hypothesis. On this basis, this study argues that our country should implement the policy of controlling wages - steady growth at low rates and interest rates, appropriately increasing energy prices, increasing investment in science and education, and improving factor markets so as to promote technological change and better adapt to the characteristics of factor endowments.