Relationships between the Limit of Predictability and Initial Error in the Uncoupled and Coupled Lor

来源 :大气科学进展(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:angwjif
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
In this study,the relationship between the limit of predictability and initial error was investigated using two simple chaotic systems:the Lorenz model,which possesses a single characteristic time scale,and the coupled Lorenz model,which possesses two different characteristic time scales.The limit of predictability is defined here as the time at which the error reaches 95% of its saturation level; nonlinear behaviors of the error growth are therefore involved in the definition of the limit of predictability.Our results show that the logarithmic function performs well in describing the relationship between the limit of predictability and initial error in both models,although the coefficients in the logarithmic function were not constant across the examined range of initial errors.Compared with the Lorenz model,in the coupled Lorenz model-in which the slow dynamics and the fast dynamics interact with each other-there is a more complex relationship between the limit of predictability and initial error.The limit of predictability of the Lorenz model is unbounded as the initial error becomes infinitesimally small; therefore,the limit of predictability of the Lorenz model may be extended by reducing the amplitude of the initial error.In contrast,if there exists a fixed initial error in the fast dynamics of the coupled Lorenz model,the slow dynamics has an intrinsic finite limit of predictability that cannot be extended by reducing the amplitude of the initial error in the slow dynamics,and vice versa.The findings reported here reveal the possible existence of an intrinsic finite limit of predictability in a coupled system that possesses many scales of time or motion.
其他文献
The new polydentate mixed-N,P,O chiral ligands have been synthesized by the condensation of bis(o-formylphenyl)-phenylphosphane and R-phenylglycinol in CHCl3,an
An extensive study of Fischer-Tropsch (FT) synthesis on cobalt nano particles supported on γ-alumina and carbon nanotubes (CNTs) catalysts is reported.20 wt% of
We aim to investigate the effects of humic acid (HA) and citric acid (CA) on the toxicity and subcellular distribution of Cd in wheat.Results show that the toxi
The present study describes the use of two commercially available lignins,namely,alkali and organosolv lignin,for the removal of 2,4-dinitroanisole (DNAN),a che
Secondary organic aerosol (SOA) formed from Cl-initiated oxidation of toluene was investigated in a home-made smog chamber.The size distribution and chemical co
A strategy for the synthesis of 1,2-disubstituted benzimidazoles has been developed and a variety of 1,2-disubstituted benzimidazoles were obtained from imidoyl
A novel diaminophosphine oxide was synthesized and applied as ligand in palladium-catalyzed Suzuki couplings reaction of aryl bromides and chlorides.The couplin
Co/Al2O3 catalyst is prepared with an impregnation-chemical reduction method and used to catalyze the methanolysis of sodium borohydride (NaBH4) for hydrogen ge
Isounonal-7-methyl ether(1) and chinendihydrochalcone(2) together with 8 known compounds were isolated from the stem barks of Desmos chinensis.Their structures
Simple structural compounds 1 to 3 were synthesized.The presence of Cu2+ resulted in the fluorescence and absorption spectra change of 1 and 2,which indicated t