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本文从归纳当前通货膨胀的主要特点入手,发现目前的通货膨胀呈现出明显的周期性、结构性和非平衡性,得到了输入型通货膨胀只是表象,周期性通货膨胀才是本质的结论。然后,通过从需求拉动、成本推动和结构性层面的深入剖析,发掘本次危机深层次的经济原因是当前的流动性过剩、投资拉动的经济增长方式和结构性失衡。最后,针对这些原因,本文提出了应该回收流动性、刺激内需、深化汇率改革等相应的通货膨胀治理建议。
In this paper, the author summarizes the main features of the current inflation and finds that the current inflation shows obvious cyclical, structural and non-equilibrium, and that input-type inflation is only an appearance and cyclical inflation is the essential conclusion. Then, through deep analysis from demand pull, cost push and structural level, we can find that the deep-seated economic reasons of this crisis are current excess liquidity, investment-driven economic growth mode and structural imbalance. Finally, in view of these reasons, this article puts forward some corresponding suggestions on inflation control, such as the recovery of liquidity, stimulating domestic demand and deepening the exchange rate reform.