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通过战术行为、击球位置、击球方向和击球技术4个转移概率矩阵模型和竞技效率值,对高水平乒乓球比赛进行模拟诊断。结果表明:相持和进攻是影响乒乓球比赛获胜概率的两个最重要的战术行为;运动员在侧身位的直接击球效果要好于正手位和反手位;击球方向从“本方反手长球到对方反手长球”的竞技效率值最大;弧圈球技术在乒乓球比赛中起着决定性作用,尤其是横拍运动员。
Through the four transition probability matrix models of tactical behavior, batting position, batting direction and batting skills and competitive efficiency value, the simulation of high-level table tennis game is simulated. The results show that sticking and attacking are the two most important tactical behaviors that affect the odds of winning a table tennis game. The direct batting effect of the players in the sideways position is better than the forehand and backhand positions. Ball to the other side of the backhand long ball "the highest competitive efficiency value; arc ball technology plays a decisive role in the table tennis competition, especially horizontal shoot athletes.