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2010生猪存栏基本是逐月减少,其中能繁母猪的存栏也在逐月减少。存栏减少一方面扭转了长期亏损的养猪业,另一方面也淘汰掉了相对过剩的产能,使生猪市场进入盈利期。但支持盈利期的长短与生猪存栏密切相关,从2011年1月份的生猪存栏、能繁母猪存栏来看,无论是同比还是还比都在下降,进入2月,猪价并没有表现出往年同期的跌势,连续上涨,平均价格都在14元/千克以上。这种现象对今年上半年乃至全年的养猪形势会传递出什么样的信号呢?
2010 hog population is basically reduced month by month, including sow herds are also decreasing month by month. Savings on the one hand reversed the long-term loss of the pig industry, on the other hand also eliminated the relative excess capacity, so that the pig market into the profit period. However, the length of the period supporting profitability is closely related to the live pig population. From the live pig population in January 2011, the number of live pigs in terms of breeding sows is declining both in comparison with the same period of last year. In February, pig prices did not show any significant difference Downtrend over the same period, rising continuously, the average price of 14 yuan / kg or more. This phenomenon on the situation in the first half of this year and even the pig will pass out what kind of signal?