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伴随着2006、2007年我国股票市场的狂热,关于股市泡沫的话题再次成为市场参与者最关心的话题。本文对我国股市从1997年8月到2007年12月共125个月的九项指标进行因子分析,得出衡量股市泡沫的综合指标,进而进行聚类分析得出我国股市各个时间段泡沫状况的结果。最后,对现阶段泡沫状况进行深入分析并提出控制股市泡沫的政策建议。
With the fanatical nature of China’s stock market in 2006 and 2007, the topic of the stock market bubble has once again become the topic of most concern to market participants. This paper analyzes the nine indexes of our country’s stock market from August 1997 to December 2007 for a total of 125 months, and obtains the comprehensive index to measure the stock market bubble, and then conducts the cluster analysis to get the bubble status of each stock market in our country result. Finally, the state of the bubble at the current stage of an in-depth analysis and put forward policy proposals to control the stock market bubble.