论文部分内容阅读
在内生动力驱动产业结构形态变迁的理论推演基础上,采用2005-2014年中国279个地级市数据,实证分析了当前我国消费结构、要素禀赋、对外贸易与技术进步四方面的内生动力与产业结构形态变迁关系。研究表明:现阶段内生动力水平驱动各地区产业结构形态整体呈现集聚态势;不同阈值区间的内生动力对产业结构形态变迁影响存在差异;低水平区间内的技术进步促进地区产业多样性,高水平区间内则转变为促进集聚态势;对外贸易改善表现出对集聚态势持续性的促进作用;当前劳动力质量提升、资本深化驱动产业结构形态趋于多样性态势。我国现阶段资本深化与消费结构水平较低是制约地区产业结构形态高级化的“短板”。
Based on the theoretical deduction of the endogenous power-driven changes in the industrial structure, using the data of 279 prefecture-level cities in China from 2005 to 2014, this paper empirically analyzes the endogenous dynamics of the current four aspects of China’s consumption structure, factor endowments, foreign trade and technological progress Relationship with the Change of Industrial Structure. The results show that: at the present stage, the endogenous dynamics drives the agglomeration of industrial structure in all regions; the endogenous dynamics of different thresholds have different effects on the industrial structure and morphological changes; the technological progress in the low-level interval promotes the regional industrial diversity, which is high In the horizontal section, the trend is to promote agglomeration. The improvement of foreign trade shows a continuous promotion of the agglomeration trend. At present, the improvement of labor force and deepening of capital drive the trend of industrial structure towards diversification. At the present stage, the deepening of capital and the low level of consumption structure in our country are the “shortcomings” restricting the advanced forms of industrial structure in the region.