SARS 疫情得到了有效的控制,这从近来每日发布的国内新增病例日趋减少可见端倪。但是关于 SARS 对经济的影响,仍然是众说纷纭,不可能有统一的认识,因为不确定的因素还很多,分量也还很重。“不确定性”的确是投资者最忌讳的一个字眼,而当万般无奈的你不得不面对它,并绞尽脑汁追求莫须有的最精准的预言以决定未来行止的时候,“愿望”往往就开始发挥它的魔力,使你心中的天平失去理智的平衡,做出一些看上去似乎就是如此的乐观判断。毋庸讳言,我们也曾经在美好愿望的驱动下扮演过类似“鸵鸟”的角色,换回来的当然是苦涩的记忆。“……我们以往失败的教训,就在于轻敌啊。” The SARS outbreak has been effectively controlled, as evidenced by the decreasing number of new domestic cases recently released daily. However, the impact of SARS on the economy is still divergent. It is impossible to have a unified understanding because there are still many uncertainties and the weight is still very heavy. “Uncertainty ” is indeed one of the most taboo words for investors, and when desperation you have to face it, and rack one’s brains to pursue the most accurate prediction that is not necessary to determine the future, “desire ”Often begin to exert its magic, make the balance of your mind lose the rational balance, make some optimistic judgments that seem to be so. Needless to say, we also played the role of “ostrich” under the motto of goodwill. In return, of course, it is a bitter memory. “... The lesson we have failed in the past is that it is light.”