加入世贸组织近两年的市场实践证明,我国有能力在保证国内玉米价格基本稳定的情况下,保持较高的出口水平。据有关部门预测,2004年我国玉米出口数量为800万～900万吨,虽较2003年有所下降,但仍属较高水平。今年我国玉米出口数量将有所下降的主要原因是预期国内玉米产量下降、库存水平降低,导致国内难以组织有效的玉米出口,加之考虑到国际市场玉米价格将因玉米主产国产量增长、国际市场玉米供求环境改善而下 The market practice of joining the WTO in the past two years has proven that China has the ability to maintain a high level of exports while ensuring that domestic corn prices are basically stable. According to the prediction of related departments, in 2004 China’s corn export volume was 8 million to 9 million tons, although it was lower than in 2003, it was still at a relatively high level. The main reason for this year’s decline in China’s corn export volume is expected to be a decline in domestic corn production and a reduction in inventory levels, which will make it difficult to organize effective corn exports in the country, and take into account that international corn prices will increase due to the increase in output of major maize producing countries and the international market. Corn supply and demand environment improved