提出了一个和国家地震局短临预报卡片相配套的较适合江苏地区的预报效能评价方法。此方法从地震三要素、地震预报实现级别、地震预报实现因子及业绩系数四个方面进行综合评价，寻求一个适应目前的地震预报水平和适合江苏地区地震预报的合理的、科学的评价方法。 Proposed a forecasting performance evaluation method which is more suitable for the Jiangsu area which is matched with the short-term forecast card of the State Seismological Bureau. This method makes a comprehensive evaluation from three aspects of earthquake, the realization level of earthquake prediction, the realization factor of earthquake prediction and the performance coefficient, and finds a reasonable and scientific evaluation method which adapts to the current earthquake prediction level and the earthquake prediction in Jiangsu Province.