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随着改革开放不断深化与经济持续增长,对外贸易连年大幅度攀升,外贸依存度问题开始进入人们视野。如何看待我国外贸依存度,直接涉及如何评估我国经济安全形势与可持续发展能力。 首先,正确把握我国外贸依存度,需要科学的评估方法。按“进出口总额/GDP”公式计算,2004年我国国内生产总值为136515亿人民币,按现行汇率折合1.65万亿美元,进出口总额为1.15万亿美元,外贸依存度约为70%,比2003年高出10个百分点,比1978年高出60个百分点,远远超出主要发达国家不足20%的水平。但是,各类国家经济
With the continuous deepening of reform and opening up and sustained economic growth, the foreign trade has risen substantially year after year and the dependence on foreign trade has begun to enter the people’s perspective. How to treat the dependence on foreign trade in our country directly involves how to evaluate the economic security situation and the ability of sustainable development in our country. First of all, a correct grasp of China’s dependence on foreign trade requires a scientific assessment method. According to the formula of “total import and export volume / GDP”, in 2004, China’s GDP was 13,651.5 billion yuan, equivalent to 1.65 trillion U.S. dollars at current exchange rates, with a total import and export volume of 1.15 trillion U.S. dollars and a foreign trade dependence of 70% , 10 percentage points higher than in 2003 and 60 percentage points higher than in 1978, far exceeding the level of less than 20% in major developed countries. However, all kinds of national economy