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随着市场经济体制改革,为了实现经济平稳、快速的增长,政府必须要能够运用财政货币政策宏观调控经济的发展。本文通过分析2003‐2011年中国国内生产总值、货币发行和财政收入的季度数据变化,运用VAR模型和Granger因果检验理论对中国财政货币政策与经济增长之间的关系进行实证研究。
With the reform of the market economy system, in order to achieve steady and rapid economic growth, the government must be able to use the fiscal and monetary policies to macro-control economic development. This paper analyzes the quarterly data changes of China’s GDP, currency issuance and fiscal revenue in 2003-2011, and uses the VAR model and Granger causality test to test the relationship between China’s monetary policy and economic growth.