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北京房地产市场在宏观调控的影响下平安但不平静地走过了2004年。从统计局公布的数据上显示,北京房地产开发投资平稳增长,商品房销售供需两旺,但8·31大限和银行加息也着实让部分发展商紧张了一把。宏观调控的目的,一方面是给非理性的投资降温,更重要的是通过宏观调控,优化房地产市场的政策环境和竞争格局,实现土地、资金等稀缺资源向优质企业重新配置,在市场上表现为发展商的优胜劣汰和重组整合。但宏观调控政策和政府出台的所有政策一样,都是一把双刃剑,于是,专家和学者之间开始争论房地产是否存在泡沫和崩盘的危险,土地管理部门和发展商之间开始争论谁该对快速上涨的房价负责,凡此种种,当我们开始回顾2004年北京房地产市场的时候,不妨先来听听他们的总结。任志强:2004年的房地产行业是乱了政策,乱了市场,没乱发展商。潘石屹:2004年每出台一个政策,我们都很紧张,但最后还是“舞照跳,马照跑”。
Beijing real estate market in the macro-control under the influence of safe but not calm passed in 2004. Statistics released by the Bureau of Statistics show that investment in real estate development in Beijing has been growing steadily and supply and demand of commercial housing have been booming. However, some developers have been really strained by the 8.31 limit and the bank’s rate hike. The purpose of macroeconomic regulation and control is to cool the irrational investment on the one hand and more importantly to optimize the policy environment and competition pattern of the real estate market through macroeconomic regulation and control so as to realize the reallocation of scarce resources such as land and capital to high-quality enterprises in the market For the survival of the fittest developers and the reorganization and integration. But macro-control policies, like all the government-introduced policies, are double-edged ones, and experts and scholars are beginning to debate the dangers of real estate bubbles and collapses, and who should start debating between land administrations and developers Responsible for the rapidly rising prices, all of these, when we start to review the real estate market in Beijing in 2004, may wish to first listen to their summary. Ren Zhiqiang: The real estate industry in 2004 is a chaotic policy, chaos in the market, chaos developers. Pan Shiyi: In 2004, each issued a policy, we are very nervous, but in the end or “dance jump, according to the horse run.”