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介绍了新疆玛纳斯河流域水文水资源情况,分析了气候变化对该流域水旱平衡、农业灌溉需水量、该区域供水量及其水质情况等方面的影响,指出由于缺乏科学管理和合理指导,气候变化已经引起本已脆弱的流域水环境退化。同时,分析了气候变化对新疆玛纳斯河流域水文水资源影响的研究方法——流域水文模型和水资源评价模型,提出我国学者对该流域水文水资源受气候变化的展望。
This paper introduced the hydrology and water resources of Manas River Basin in Xinjiang, and analyzed the impacts of climate change on the water and drought balance, agricultural irrigation water demand, water supply and water quality in the area, and pointed out that due to the lack of scientific management and reasonable guidance Climate change has already caused the degradation of the aquatic environment in already-fragile watersheds. At the same time, this paper analyzes the research methods of the impact of climate change on the hydrology and water resources in the Manas River basin in Xinjiang - the hydrological model and the water resources evaluation model, and puts forward the expectation of our country’s scholars on the hydrological and water resources affected by the climate change in this basin.