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9.11不仅仅是摧毁了纽约世贸大楼,更严重的是极大地挫伤了投资者及消费者信心,令全球金融市场大幅震荡,大大增加了全球经济陷入衰退的可能性。虽有各国央行纷纷行动企图抚平市场,以稳定投资者信心,然而以美国股市为首,全球股市相继暴跌;外汇市场上由于担心美国经济由此转入衰退及担心全世界政治经济形势不稳,美元持续贬值:受避险需求,瑞士法郎、黄金等价格飞涨。可见,9.11对投资者及消费者的心理影响是无形的。经济上的直接损失容易统计,但经济上所受到的深层次的影响,还需要一段时间才能显现出来,现在还很难对9.11对美国及全球经济的长期影响做出准确的判断。下面刊出的一组短文,仅仅是就9.11对国际金融市场、国际油市、国际贸易与投资已经或可能会产生的短期及长期影响做简要分析和初步判断。
9.11 Not only has the World Trade Center in New York been destroyed, but even more serious has dampened the confidence of investors and consumers, dramatically shocking global financial markets and greatly increasing the possibility of the global economy falling into recession. Although the central banks in various countries have tried to heal the market in an attempt to stabilize investor confidence, global stock markets plunged one after another, led by the U.S. stock market. In the foreign exchange market, due to fears that the U.S. economy has entered a recession and is worried about political and economic instability in the world, US dollar continued depreciation: subject to safe-haven demand, the Swiss franc, gold and other prices soars. Visible, 9.11 psychological impact on investors and consumers is intangible. Economic direct losses are easy to count, but the deep economic impact will take some time to emerge. It is still difficult to make accurate judgments on the long-term effects of the September 11 U.S. and global economy. The following short essay series is a brief analysis and preliminary judgment of 9.11 on the short-term and long-term effects that have been or may have on the international financial markets, international oil markets, international trade and investment.