中国改革是一个巨大的社会变迁过程,也是各种利益团体的竞斗,博奕过程。在这样一个纷繁复杂的局面下,改革向何处去?这既依赖于各利益团体之间力量的对比,也依赖于明确改革的基本方向。改革的基本方向应是客观的,是各种利益团体的边际变革收益与边际变革成本的均衡点,也即是社会总变革收益最大、总变革成本最小的变革趋 China’s reform is a huge process of social change and a process of competition and play among various interest groups. In such a complicated situation, where does the reform go? It depends not only on the balance of power among the various interest groups but also on the basic direction of the reform. The basic direction of reform should be objective and the balance between the marginal change benefits and the marginal change costs of all kinds of interest groups. That is, the reform trend with the largest total social returns and the lowest total change costs