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针对水利工程复杂及失事后果严重等特点,企业在投标前应结合实际情况充分考虑风险因素和中标后的收益。为了能科学合理地进行投标风险决策,在综合考虑业主、项目、投标人自身及竞争对手的基础上,建立了风险因素指标体系,为综合考虑指标间内在联系,采用网络层次分析法计算各指标因素的权重,并利用熵权理想点法对得到的主观权重进行客观判断优选。实例应用结果表明,该方法可有效进行投标风险决策。
In view of the complexity of water conservancy projects and the serious consequences of the accident, the enterprises should fully consider the risk factors and the proceeds after winning the bid according to the actual situation before bidding. In order to make scientific and reasonable bidding risk decision-making, the index system of risk factors has been established on the basis of comprehensive consideration of the owners, projects, bidders themselves and their competitors. In order to comprehensively consider the intrinsic linkages between indicators and calculate the indexes by network AHP The weight of the factors, and uses the entropy weight ideal point method to objectively determine and optimize the obtained subjective weights. The example application shows that this method can effectively make bidding risk decision.