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本文是地震地质与历史、考古工作者相结合,运用多学科的方法,在分析西昌及附近地区挽近时期地质构造背景、历史地震活动规律和近代地震的活动性的基础上,提出未来十年内,在本区发生一次强震的可能性是存在的,值得注意;并指出安宁河断裂可能不是发震构造,而是控震构造;还指出研究历史地震应注意的问题。
Based on the analysis of the geological tectonics, the law of historical seismic activity and the activity of modern earthquakes in the vicinity of Xichang and nearby areas, this paper proposes that the combination of seismic geology with history and archeology workers should be based on the multidisciplinary approach. , It is worth noting that there is a possibility of a strong earthquake in this area. It is pointed out that the Anninghe fault may not be a seismogenic structure but an earthquake-controlled structure, and some problems that should be paid attention to in studying historical earthquakes are also pointed out.