大到国家,中到行业,小到企业,它们的发展轨迹都不可能是直线,都是要经历螺旋式上升,甚至于在发展过程中长时间的原地踏步;所以,看一个行业和企业的发展不能只看1年,或者短期,否则的话,容易被表面的现象蒙蔽,从而会因为信心问题,匆忙作出决定,至于这个决定正确与否就要靠运气了。 Large industries, as small as enterprises, their development trajectory can not be a straight line, they all experience spiraling growth and even stand still for a long time in the development process. Therefore, looking at an industry and enterprises Can not only look at one year or short term. Otherwise, it is easily deceived by superficial phenomena, so that a decision can be made in a hurry because of the issue of confidence. As for whether this decision is correct or not, we must rely on luck.