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近年来,国际市场上原油等可耗尽性资源的价格剧烈波动,令人震惊,对全球经济形成强烈冲击。这种情形并不能从传统资源经济学理论得到合理的解释。基于此,本文一方面对不均衡市场中完全竞争厂商的产出决策问题进行理论探讨,得到关于最优产出路径性质的一般化结果;另一方面从厂商根据其库存水平进行价格调整这一合理假设出发,分析比较了可耗尽性资源价格波动的可能性路径,并刻画其性质,从中揭示出可耗尽性资源价格波动的复杂性。如今快速发展的中国对于自然资源的需求日趋强烈,本研究不仅有助于了解可耗尽性资源价格波动的内在规律,同时对于更好地认识“如何实现我国经济可持续性发展”也有一定的借鉴意义。
In recent years, the drastic fluctuations in the prices of depletable resources such as crude oil on the international market have been alarming and have had a severe impact on the global economy. This situation can not be reasonably explained from the traditional theory of resource economics. Based on this, on the one hand, this paper conducts a theoretical study of the output decision-making of a fully-competitive firm in an unbalanced market, obtains a generalized result on the nature of the optimal output path, and on the other hand, from the manufacturer’s price adjustment according to its inventory level Reasonable assumptions starting analysis and comparison of the possible path of depletion of resource price fluctuations, and characterize its nature, revealing the complexity of the price volatility of depletable resources. Nowadays, the rapidly developing China has an increasingly strong demand for natural resources. This study not only helps to understand the inherent law of price volatility of exhaustible resources, but also has a certain value for a better understanding of “how to achieve sustainable economic development in China” Reference meaning.