“这是一个复杂的年份,整体经济预计呈现前低后高走势。”这个预测的前半句已经被今年前5个月的经济金融形势所印证。至今年一季度,我国经济增速已连续五个季度放缓。4月份工业增加值增速创近三年的新低,5月份PMI指数大幅回落更加扩大了市场悲观情绪。究其因,是内外需求同步放缓。 “This is a complicated year and the overall economy is expected to show the trend of low-to-high growth.” The first half of this forecast has been confirmed by the economic and financial situation in the first five months of this year. By the first quarter of this year, China’s economic growth has slowed for five consecutive quarters. In April, the growth rate of industrial added value hit a new low for nearly three years. The sharp fall in the PMI in May further widened the market’s pessimism. The reason is that both domestic and foreign demand slowed down simultaneously.