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本文根据1978年至2011年我国居民消费价格与各项经济指标的变化情况,运用计量经济方法,深入分析CPI变动对经济增长、居民货币购买力和储蓄、城乡居民生活消费的影响。结果表明:在“低通胀”阶段,CPI每上升1%,将正向影响GDP增长0.6%,而在“高通胀”阶段,CPI每上升1%,将拉低GDP增长0.5%。CPI上升导致货币购买力迅速下降、居民储蓄存款贬值;CPI不同程度的上升增加了城乡居民生活消费支出,对低收入群体的影响更加明显。
Based on the changes of Chinese consumer prices and various economic indicators from 1978 to 2011, this paper analyzes the impact of CPI changes on economic growth, residents’ monetary purchasing power and savings, and the living expenses of urban and rural residents by using econometric methods. The results show that for every “low inflation” period, every 1% increase in CPI will positively affect the GDP growth by 0.6%, while in the “high inflation” phase, every 1% CPI increase will reduce the GDP growth by 0.5% . The rise of CPI led to the rapid decline of purchasing power of the currency and the devaluation of household savings deposits. The rise of CPI in varying degrees increased the living expenses of urban and rural residents, and the impact on low-income groups was even more obvious.