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运用突变级数法,以1991~2012年中国社会、环境、创新及经济活动四个方面的数据构建指标体系,对中国经济以及各个领域的发展态势进行评估。结果表明:(1)中国经济发展水平在1991~2012年整体呈上升态势,但2010年之后出现明显下滑;(2)中国的经济发展具有明显的非均衡性,具体表现为:社会和环境的发展程度弱于创新和经济活动的发展;卫生健康方面的发展存在很大的进步空间;教育活动与科研活动并没有呈现同步增长;经济规模快速扩展,但经济结构却停滞不前。
By using the method of catastrophe series, this paper constructs an index system based on data from four aspects of social, environmental, innovation and economic activities in China from 1991 to 2012 and evaluates the development of China’s economy and various fields. The results show that: (1) The overall level of economic development in China showed an upward trend from 1991 to 2012, but a marked decline after 2010; (2) China’s economic development has obvious imbalances, manifested in the following aspects: social and environmental The degree of development is weaker than the development of innovation and economic activities; there is room for improvement in the development of health and health; the growth of education and research activities have not shown a simultaneous increase; the scale of economy has expanded rapidly but the economic structure has stagnated.