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俄国石油巨头Lukoil公司最近发布了全球烃加工行业的长期展望报告,主要结论有:①全球对液化气的需求将继续增长。主要消费增长来自发展中国家的交通运输领域。②北美石油产量增长不会导致全球油价暴跌。由于对页岩油藏的评估还有很大的不确定性,故应谨慎估计美国石油生产的潜力。油藏替代成本的不断增长、欧佩克的平衡作用以及美元贬值等诸多因素,都会使油价长期保持在当前水平。③欧洲炼油工业正在经历整体危机。美国汽油进口下降和中东、亚洲等地新建高效炼油厂的投
Russian oil giant Lukoil recently released a long-term global hydrocarbon processing industry outlook report, the main conclusions are: ① the global demand for liquefied gas will continue to grow. The main increase in consumption comes from the transport sector in developing countries. ② North American oil production growth will not lead to a sharp drop in global oil prices. As there is considerable uncertainty about the assessment of shale reservoirs, the potential of U.S. oil production should be carefully estimated. The increasing cost of alternative reservoirs, the balanced role of OPEC and the devaluation of the U.S.A. have all along kept oil prices at their current levels for a long time. ③ The European refining industry is experiencing an overall crisis. U.S. gasoline imports have dropped and new high-efficiency oil refineries have been cast in the Middle East and Asia