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本文采用2003~2014年187个中国对外直接投资国(地区)的跨境数据,实证分析了产业结构变迁及其引起的OFDI行业构成的变化对我国OFDI的影响效应。结果表明,产业结构合理化和高级化对OFDI均具有显著的正向影响,且两者之间对OFDI具有交互效应。在OFDI行业构成方面,信息传输、计算机服务和软件业与房地产业以及科学研究、技术服务和地质勘查业等三个行业占比的增加对OFDI具有显著的正向影响,农、林、牧、渔业与电力、燃气及水的生产和供应业等两个行业占比的增加对OFDI具有显著的负向影响,其他行业占比的增加对OFDI具有不同程度的影响。
Based on the cross-border data of 187 FDI countries (regions) in China from 2003 to 2014, this paper empirically analyzes the impact of changes in the industrial structure and the resulting changes in the OFDI industry structure on China’s OFDI. The results show that the rationalization and advancement of the industrial structure have a significant positive impact on OFDI, and the interaction between the two has an interactive effect on OFDI. In terms of OFDI industry composition, the increase in the proportion of information transmission, computer service, software industry and real estate as well as the proportion of three industries including scientific research, technical services and geological prospecting have a significant positive impact on OFDI. Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, The increase in the share of the two industries such as fisheries and electricity, gas and water production and supply has a significant negative impact on OFDI while the increase in other sectors has varying degrees of impact on OFDI.