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相对资源承载力测算普遍采用加权线性和模型,其弊端在于通过经验赋权产生的主观因素的干扰影响了测算的准确性和科学性;同样几何相对资源承载力模型,虽然避免了权重的使用,但是仅适合资源相对均衡的区域,对资源禀赋不均衡区域的测算误差较大;基于此对相对资源承载力模型进行了改进,通过几种模型的比较提出了分阶段层次分析模型,并利用新模型,以全国为理想状态参考区,对新疆1978-2011年相对资源承载力进行了实证分析。研究表明,新疆处于人口富余,经济发展不足阶段。
The relative disadvantage of using weighted linearity and model to calculate the relative carrying capacity of resources is that the interference of subjective factors produced through experience empowerment affects the accuracy and scientificity of the calculation. Similarly, the geometric relative resource carrying capacity model avoids the use of weights, However, it is only suitable for a region with relatively balanced resources and a large error in the estimation of an unbalanced region of resource endowments. Based on this, the relative resource carrying capacity model is improved. Based on the comparison of several models, a staged model is proposed, Model, taking the country as the ideal reference area, this paper empirically analyzes the relative carrying capacity of resources in Xinjiang from 1978 to 2011. Research shows that Xinjiang is in a surplus of population and an undeveloped economy.