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“风险”“危机”“灾害”概念的萌芽可追溯至先秦时期,分别用“幾”“微”“危”“殆”“灾”“难”表达,这些词的语义各有侧重,其相互关系可整合为“幾微—危殆—灾难”风险演化链;针对这一演化链,先秦文献中的“知幾察微”“持危救危”“御灾救荒”“慎始慎终”“仁政为本”等风险治理策略也呈现出以“断链”为主要手段、兼顾整个流程的链式治理特点,可为当今的风险治理提供一种思路。
The sprouting of the concept of “risk”, “crisis” and “disaster” can be traced back to the pre-Qin period, with “”, “Wei”, “Wei”, “Wei” “” Difficult “expression, the semantics of these words have different emphases, and their interrelationship can be integrated into a chain of risk evolution of” a few micro-critical-disasters “; for this evolutionary chain, At the same time, the strategies of risk management such as ”crisis prevention and rescue“, ”disaster prevention and rescue“, ”prudence and caution“ and ”benevolence-based“ also appeared as ”broken chains" Means, taking into account the characteristics of the chain process of the entire process can provide a way for today’s risk management.