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固定通信行业的规模经济性历来被认为是其自然垄断的条件,中国电信业因此长期处于垄断的地位。随着市场需求的扩大,固定通信行业的自然垄断性也随之消除。本文对中国固定通信市场的竞争状态进行了分析,通过计算市场容量和电信厂商的最优规模,测度出了市场所能容纳的最佳厂商数目。中国固定通信市场的发展已经具备了展开一定竞争的要素,新厂商的进入是必然的趋势。
The scale economy of the fixed telecommunications industry has always been regarded as a condition of its natural monopoly. As a result, China’s telecom industry has long been in a monopoly position. With the expansion of market demand, the natural monopoly of the fixed telecommunications industry will also be eliminated. This article analyzes the competition status of China’s fixed telecommunications market. By calculating the market capacity and the optimal scale of telecom manufacturers, the paper measures the optimal number of firms that the market can accommodate. The development of the fixed telecommunications market in China already has the necessary elements to start a certain competition. The entry of new manufacturers is an inevitable trend.