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从技术轨道视角研究基于技术轨道理论的技术创新演化机制,认为技术创新活动除了受到市场作用外,还会受到初始条件以及随机涨落、非线性反馈等因素作用;从纵向演化角度,认为技术创新是一个轨道选择、切入点选择、顺轨创新、跃轨创新、轨道锁定等过程的演化循环,以此构建了基于技术轨道视角的技术创新演化模型。此外,通过深入探讨技术轨道理论,将技术轨道锁定按时序分为初始锁定和渐进锁定,按锁定是否显见又分为轨道隐性锁定和显性锁定。
From the technical orbit perspective, this paper studies the technological innovation evolution mechanism based on the theory of technological orbit. It considers that the technological innovation activities are subject to initial conditions, random fluctuation and nonlinear feedback, It is an evolutionary cycle of trajectory selection, selection of starting points, innovation in innovation, innovation in orbit, and trajectory locking. In this way, a technological innovation evolution model based on the technological orbit perspective is constructed. In addition, through in-depth discussion of technical orbit theory, the technical orbital locking is divided into initial locking and progressive locking according to time sequence. According to whether the locking is obvious or not, it is divided into track recessive locking and explicit locking.