地震能够应力预测

来源 :国际地震动态 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户：hlwerewolf

【摘要】

：

1997年Geller等人曾发表"地震不能预报",因为在自组织临界系统中尺度不变性是普遍存在的,而地球正处于自组织临界状态中,在这种状态下小地震具有某种概率,如瀑布般触发大的地震事件。但是在物理上,只有对应其地震震级的应力能量得到有效释放,才能有大地震的发生。利用对这种应力的依赖性可以进行地震预测,方法就是利用剪切波分裂来监控即将发生地震的周围岩体的应力积累。这项技术可以说是成功的,但是由于假定的

【作者】

：

Crampin Stuart 王琼

【出处】

：

国际地震动态

【发表日期】

：

2010年07期

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地震能够应力预测

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