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本文对1996-2010年我国一次能源和电力供需情况进行了分析预测,指出我国今后一次能源供需矛盾将日益突出,需要采取有效措施妥善解决:一是进一步加强节能工作,采用先进技术,加强管理,调整经济结构,降低单位产品及国内生产总值能耗;二是增加国内一次能源生产,建议积极开发水电,加快国产核电建设步伐;三是增加进口石油,及早决策进口天然气。文章还指出,我国电力工业的电源结构仍将以烧煤火电为主。
This article analyzes and predicts the primary energy supply and demand situation in China from 1996 to 2010, and points out that the contradiction between China’s primary energy supply and demand will become increasingly prominent in the future, and effective measures must be taken to properly resolve it: First, to further strengthen energy conservation, adopt advanced technologies, and strengthen management; Adjust economic structure, reduce energy consumption per unit of product and GDP; Second, increase domestic primary energy production, suggest actively develop hydropower and accelerate the pace of domestic nuclear power construction; third is to increase imports of oil and early decision to import natural gas. The article also pointed out that the power structure of China’s power industry will still be based on coal-fired thermal power.