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一、国际经济形势展望全球经济仍将延续缓慢复苏态势,分化依旧、动荡加剧。国际货币基金组织(IMF)预计2015年全球经济将增长3.5%。美国经济将持续复苏,2014年美国经济预计增长2.4%,尤其第三季度5%的增速创2003年以来最快增长纪录。总体看,美国经济数据持续向好,消费者信心指数、经济景气先行指数等普遍回升,固定资产投资稳健增长,住房信贷市场逐步回暖,就业市场明显好转,复苏动力表现强劲,也使得美联储加息预期走强。但2014年第四季度经济初
I. Prospects for the International Economic Situation The global economy will continue the trend of slow recovery. The division remains the same with the turmoil intensified. The International Monetary Fund expects the global economy to grow by 3.5% in 2015. The U.S. economy will continue to recover. In 2014, the U.S. economy is expected to grow by 2.4%. In particular, the 5% growth rate in the third quarter was the fastest growing record since 2003. In general, the U.S. economic data continued to improve, the consumer sentiment index and the economy sentiment advanced generally. The steady growth of fixed asset investment, the gradual warming of the housing credit market, the marked improvement in the employment market and the strong recovery momentum also made the Fed rate hike Expected to strengthen. However, the fourth quarter of 2014 economy early