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选取了2008年长春市主城区各警区(共74个)内的8种常见犯罪,并对其进行了基于主成分的因子分析。基于日常活动理论(routine activities theory)的理论框架,通过分析不同主因子得分的空间分异状况,并结合各地段人口集聚、社会经济、土地利用等方面的特征,探究各主因子的内涵、关联和空间格局的成因。结果表明长春市2008年8种常见犯罪可以归为3个主因子上。其中主因子1在伤害、诈骗和偶发性暴力犯罪上载荷最大,可以归结为经济活动主导(或就业主导型)型因子;主因子2载荷最大的犯罪包括抢劫、抢夺和扒窃,可以归结为商贸、餐饮、文娱活动主导型因子;主因子3载荷最大的犯罪包括入室盗窃和机动车盗窃,可以归结为居住活动主导型因子。
Eight kinds of common crimes in each police district of Changchun city (74 districts in total) were selected in 2008, and the factor analysis based on principal components was carried out. Based on the theoretical framework of routine activities theory, this paper analyzes the spatial differentiation of scores of different main factors and explores the connotation and association of the main factors by combining the characteristics of population aggregation, social economy and land use in all the districts. And the causes of the spatial pattern. The results show that Changchun City in 2008 eight kinds of common crime can be classified as three main factors. Among them, the main factor 1 has the highest load of injury, fraud and sporadic violent crime, which can be attributed to the dominant (or employment-led) factor of economic activity. The main factor 2 is the most heavily loaded crime including robbery, robbery and pickpocketing, which can be attributed to commerce , Catering, entertainment activities leading factor; main factor 3 The most heavily loaded crime, including burglary and motor vehicle theft, can be attributed to the leading factor in residential activities.