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江苏乾宇集团预计如果严格执行《铅酸蓄电池行业准入条件(征求意见稿)》,最终留存铅酸电池厂商数约为500家左右,未来几年内行业总产能下降幅度在10%～30%之间,将呈现明显的产能不足。若不考虑电网并网储能对铅酸电池的需求,预计2012年铅酸电池总需求将达到1.8亿KVAh,供求缺口在13%左右,2013-2015年基本达到供求平衡。若考虑电网并网储能领域对铅酸电池的需求,将会产生较大的供求缺口。
Jiangsu Qiangyu Group expects that if the “lead-acid battery industry access conditions (draft)” is strictly implemented, the final number of lead-acid battery manufacturers will be about 500, and the total industrial capacity will decrease by 10% to 30% in the next few years Between, will show significant capacity deficiencies. Without considering grid-connected energy storage demand for lead-acid batteries, the total demand for lead-acid batteries is expected to reach 180 million KVAh in 2012 with a supply-demand gap of about 13% and a balance between supply and demand in 2013-2015. Considering the demand for lead-acid batteries in the field of grid-connected energy storage, there will be a large supply and demand gap.