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市场价格的上涨,一般是因为需求大于供给。笔者认为,现在中国房地产的情形,需求主要是实质性的消费与投资需求,泡沫因素很小。近12年来,中国平均城镇人口每年增加约1800多万人。这高速的城市化,还会继续约二三十年;由于人口结构与社会因素,中国处于结婚与离婚的高潮时期,而两者都增加家庭数目,因而增加对房子的需求;部分由于人
The rise in market prices is generally because demand is greater than supply. The author believes that the current situation in China’s real estate, demand is mainly substantial consumer and investment needs, the bubble factor is small. In the past 12 years, the average urban population in China has increased by about 18 million each year. This rapid urbanization will continue for about two or three decades; due to demographic and social factors, China is at the climax of marriage and divorce, both of which increase the number of households, thereby increasing the demand for houses; partly due to human