论文部分内容阅读
能源是经济增长的引擎之一,但过度依赖能源消耗单方面追求经济增长却是不可持续的。本文利用辽宁省1985-2010年的相关时间序列数据,对能源消耗和经过平减的GDP数据(以上一年为100)进行协整分析,发现辽宁省存在着从能源消耗到经济增长的双向格兰杰因果关系。针对这一关系,本文结合辽宁省的实际情况,分别从提高能源效率、调整能源结构、优化产业结构、发展循环经济等方面提出了政策性建议。
Energy is one of the engines of economic growth. However, it is unsustainable to rely too much on energy consumption to pursue economic growth unilaterally. Based on the correlation time series data of Liaoning Province from 1985 to 2010, this paper uses the co-integration analysis of energy consumption and deflated GDP data (100 in the previous year), and finds that there exists a two-way grid in Liaoning province from energy consumption to economic growth Langer causality. In response to this relationship, this paper, combined with the actual situation in Liaoning Province, put forward policy recommendations from improving energy efficiency, adjusting energy structure, optimizing industrial structure and developing circular economy respectively.