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在三中全会之后,如果不再特别剧烈地进行房地产政策调整,而是延续已有政策基调并合理微调,那么在2020年之前,中国房地产有可能软着陆。中国房地产行业所包含的价格泡沫风险和金融风险,一直令国际社会关注。楼市的主要问题集中在土地财政寅吃卯粮、全国楼市供过于求、京沪大城市房价过快上涨、不合理的房价收入比和租售比及涉房信贷规模膨胀等。目前看来,其存在着较大的软着陆可能。第一,政府和市场对房地产的作用逐渐形成并重的局面,住房需求不再纯粹依赖商品房屋。在2010年之
After the Third Plenary Session, China real estate may have a soft landing until 2020 if it is no longer to make any drastic real estate policy adjustments, but to continue the existing policy priorities and fine-tune them. The price bubble risk and financial risks involved in China’s real estate industry have drawn the attention of the international community. The main problems in the property market focus on land finance Yin eat grain, the national property market oversupply, the Beijing-Shanghai metropolitan housing prices rose too fast, irrational price-income ratio and rental ratio and credit-related credit expansion. It now appears that there is a large potential for a soft landing. First, the role of the government and the market in real estate has gradually taken shape. The demand for housing no longer depends purely on commodity houses. In the year of 2010