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最近两年,我国的居民消费量呈现出明显上升的趋势。2004年1—8月份,我国社会消费品零售总额与2003年同期相比增长12.9%,比2003年同期水平高出4.4个百分点。另一方面,随着物价水平的持续走高,居民已经开始形成通货膨胀预期,这也有利于居民消费的增加。从这个角度讲,2005年的居民消费将保持一个较高增长速度,这将在一定程度上拉动经济增长。因此,我认为,由于居民消费水平的增长,居民消费品将是下半年招商的热点。
In the recent two years, the consumption of residents in our country has shown a clear upward trend. From January to August 2004, the total retail sales of consumer goods in China increased by 12.9% over the same period of 2003, 4.4 percentage points higher than the same period in 2003. On the other hand, as the price level continues to rise, residents have started to anticipate inflation, which is also conducive to the increase of residents’ consumption. From this perspective, the consumption of residents in 2005 will maintain a relatively high growth rate, which will to some extent stimulate economic growth. Therefore, I think that due to the growth of residents’ consumption level, the consumer goods will be the hot spot for investment promotion in the second half of the year.