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真实国民储蓄通过对宏观经济指标的修正,货币化度量一个国家或地区的财富变化,从经济学意义上阐明环境与发展的可持续性。论文利用边际机会成本法,在计算了中国31个省市区16种主要矿产资源价格的基础上,分析各省真实国民储蓄及其空间分异。结果表明:①山西、贵州、青海3省真实国民储蓄为负值,地区经济发展呈现不可持续性;②西部地区的真实国民储蓄小于东部地区,西部地区的可持续发展能力弱于东部地区,真实国民储蓄存在着东西差距;③矿产资源消耗对净储蓄的贡献度呈从西部向东部沿海递减的梯度推移,矿产资源价值消耗量大的地区净储蓄较小,而资源稀缺的地区净储蓄较高,资源分布与地区经济发展存在空间错位;④矿产资源的区际流动导致矿产资源开采在西部地区、附加价值增值在东部地区的局面,削弱了西部地区的可持续发展能力。国家应建立资源补偿机制,向西部地区提供利益补偿,增强其可持续发展能力。
Real national savings through the revision of macroeconomic indicators, monetary measurement of a country or region’s wealth changes, from the economic point of view to clarify the sustainability of environment and development. Based on the calculation of the prices of 16 major mineral resources in 31 provinces in China, the paper uses the marginal opportunity cost method to analyze the real national savings in different provinces and their spatial differences. The results show that: (1) real national savings in Shanxi, Guizhou and Qinghai provinces are negative, and regional economic development is unsustainable; (2) real national savings in the western region are less than those in the eastern region, while those in the western region are weaker than those in the eastern region There is a gap between the east and the west; (3) the contribution of mineral resource consumption to net saving is gradually decreasing from the west to the east coast, and the net saving in regions with large consumption of mineral resources is small while the net saving in regions with scarce resources is high , Resource distribution and regional economic development there is a spatial dislocation; ④ inter-regional movement of mineral resources led to the exploitation of mineral resources in the western region, added value added in the eastern region, weakening the ability of sustainable development in the western region. The state should establish a resource compensation mechanism to provide benefits to the western region and enhance their capacity for sustainable development.