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本文在分析2000～2009年中国行政成本演变特征的基础上,采用灰色关联分析法计算了行政成本与其19个驱动因素之间的关联度。实证结果表明,近年来,中国行政成本一直呈现增长的态势,外部驱动因素和内部驱动因素对于中国行政成本增长几乎同等重要。外部驱动因素中,国民经济增长和人民生活水平提高对中国行政成本增长的影响相对较强,人口增长和物价上涨的影响相对较弱。内部驱动因素中,财政收入增长对中国行政成本增长的影响相对较强,其次是政府职能扩张和人员费用增长,公用费用增长对中国行政成本增长的影响相对较弱。在此基础上,本文提出了行政成本合理化的相关建议。
Based on the analysis of the evolutionary characteristics of China’s administrative costs from 2000 to 2009, this paper calculates the relationship between administrative costs and its 19 drivers by using gray relational analysis. The empirical results show that in recent years, administrative costs in China have been showing an upward trend. External drivers and internal drivers are almost equally important for the growth of administrative costs in China. Among the external drivers, the growth of the national economy and the improvement of people’s living standards have a relatively strong impact on the growth of administrative costs in China, and the impact of population growth and rising prices is relatively weaker. Of the internal drivers, the increase of fiscal revenue has a relatively strong impact on the growth of administrative costs in China, followed by the expansion of government functions and personnel costs. The impact of public expenses on the growth of administrative costs in China is relatively weak. On this basis, the paper puts forward some suggestions on the rationalization of administrative costs.