论文部分内容阅读
企业用户生产经营因主要受制于市场经济和政府政策等因素的影响,其用电量或用电需求量存在很大的不确定性和波动性,给供电企业和政府的规划带来困难,影响决策,甚至造成供需不协调、资源的严重浪费情况。因缺乏有效的预测依据和方法,区域的用电需求预测值出现较大偏差,研究科学的预测方法能有效提高中长期电量增长预测的准确性和可靠性。近两年,通过深入分析和总结广东当前经济模式下区域的建设特点和规律的基础上,找出了适合供电企业做好中长期电量市场
Due to the influence of factors such as market economy and government policies, the users of production and operation of enterprises have great uncertainty and volatility in their electricity consumption or electricity demand, which brings difficulties and impacts to the planning of power supply enterprises and governments Decision-making, or even cause supply and demand are not coordinated, serious waste of resources. Due to the lack of effective prediction basis and method, the prediction value of electricity demand in the region shows a big deviation. The research method of scientific prediction can effectively improve the accuracy and reliability of medium and long term electricity growth forecast. In the past two years, through in-depth analysis and summarization of the characteristics and laws of the regional construction in Guangdong’s current economic model, we have found out that suitable for the power supply enterprises to make long-term electricity market