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本文将总消费分解为城镇消费和农村消费两个部分,进而得到总消费增长速度依赖三个因素:人口增长率,城镇与农村人均消费增长速度和农村人口向城镇迁移速度。经验分析表明,在我国目前的社会经济条件下第三个因素对增加总需求有决定性的影响。由此可见,加快工业化和城镇化的步伐是解决我国目前总需求下降和保持经济持续增长的有力措施。
In this paper, the total consumption is divided into two parts: urban consumption and rural consumption, and then the total consumption growth rate depends on three factors: the growth rate of population, the growth rate of urban and rural per capita consumption and the migration rate of rural population to urban areas. Empirical analysis shows that the third factor under the current socio-economic conditions in our country has a decisive effect on the increase of aggregate demand. It can be seen from this that accelerating the pace of industrialization and urbanization is a powerful measure to solve the current decline in aggregate demand in our country and maintain sustained economic growth.