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文章利用拉姆齐-卡斯-库普曼斯模型,采用河南省1978-2013年金融改善与产业结构优化的时间序列数据,运用格兰杰因果分析、构建VAR模型,就金融改善对三次产业的贡献进行回归。研究结果表明河南省金融改善指标与产业结构调整指标相互间存在长期均衡关系,并且金融改善与产业结构优化具有单向的格兰杰因果关系,对产业结构优化的影响比较明显。金融改善对三类产业产值贡献度不同,第三产业最大、其次是第二产业和第一产业。对此,文章从区域金融改善视角提出了产业结构优化的政策启示。
By using the Ramsay-Kas-Kuppmans model and the time series data of Henan Province’s financial improvement and industrial structure optimization from 1978 to 2013, using Granger causality analysis to construct VAR model, The contribution of regression. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between financial improvement indicators and industrial structural adjustment indicators in Henan Province, and the one-way Granger causality between financial improvement and industrial structure optimization has a clear influence on industrial structure optimization. The financial improvement contributed a lot to the output value of the three types of industries, the tertiary industry was the largest, followed by the secondary industry and the primary industry. In this regard, the article from the regional financial improvement perspective of the industrial structure optimization policy enlightenment.