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中国原木的增长需求主要通过进口来满足,进口品种结构中针叶原木进口数量明显大于阔叶原木进口数量,进口金额阔叶原木则大于针叶原木。应该密切关注俄罗斯关税政策对针叶材出口的限制及不利影响。长期来看,针叶原木和阔叶原木的进口需求有增无减,原材料成本上升将会促使价格增长,其对于国内相关产业的影响将是长期的。依赖于国际市场少数主要来源国的资源供给对于中国资源安全和整个林业产业安全是不利的。
The growth demand of Chinese logs is mainly met by imports. The import quantity of softwood logs in imported variety structures is obviously larger than the imports of broad-leaved logs, and the import amount of broad-leaved logs is larger than that of softwood logs. The restrictions and adverse effects of the Russian tariff policy on softwood exports should be closely monitored. In the long run, the import demand for softwood logs and broad-leaved logs will continue unabated. The rise in raw material costs will result in price growth. Its impact on domestic related industries will be long-term. Relying on the supply of resources by a handful of major source countries in the international market is detrimental to China’s resource security and the safety of the entire forestry industry.