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流行病学是与统计学关系非常密切的一门学科领域。统计学家们通过处理相关的概率分布,并估计这些分布的参数,就可以帮助卫生官员估计受感染的人数,从而为制定有效的公共政策服务。艾滋病的平均潜伏期是怎样估算的呢?有多大的把握确信真值会落在所估计的区间里?我们不妨从统计学史中寻找答案……
Epidemiology is a subject that has a close relationship with statistics. By treating the associated probability distributions and estimating the parameters of these distributions, statisticians can help health officials estimate the number of people infected and thereby work for the formulation of effective public policy. How is the average incubation period for AIDS estimated? How confident are you that your true values will fall within the estimated range? We might as well look for answers in the history of statistics ...