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本研究利用中国6次全国森林资源清查资料和1953～2006年分省市区的林业与国民经济统计数据,以及1949年以来的中国主要林权制度变迁变量,采用计量经济学模型,研究了中国林业制度变迁与森林资源动态变化。研究结果表明:从整体上来看,中国森林资源存在环境库兹涅茨曲线并且已经超越了森林资源环境兹茨涅茨曲线的拐点;但超越的仅仅有14个省市区,并且与根据造林面积和有林地面积计算出的结果保持一致;中国森林资源环境库兹涅茨曲线态势受到制度和社会经济等诸多因素的影响。
In this study, 6 national forest inventory data and China’s forestry and national economy statistics from 1953 to 2006 and the changes of China’s major forest tenure system since 1949 were used to study the impact of China Changes of Forestry System and Dynamic Changes of Forest Resources. The results show that: As a whole, China’s forest resources have environmental Kuznets curve and have surpassed the inflection point of the Zztznez curve of forest resources and environment; however, there are only 14 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions transcended, Which is consistent with the result calculated by the area of forest land. The trend of the Kuznets curve of forest resources and environment in China is influenced by many factors such as the system and social economy.