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生态系统的安全是区域旅游业可持续发展的前提与基础。旅游业发展所引起的环境问题威胁着生态系统的安全,而不安全的生态系统也会影响旅游业的可持续发展。运用系统动力学理论与方法,分析区域旅游生态安全系统中各要素的因果反馈关系,构建区域旅游生态安全系统的系统动力学模型,并以辽宁省旅游生态安全系统为例进行系统仿真,通过对模型中主要参数的调控,提出辽宁省旅游业发展的不同模式。最后通过分析,得出环境保护、旅游投资、政策法规与旅游工作人员素质是影响辽宁省旅游生态系统安全状态的主要因素。
Ecosystem security is the prerequisite and foundation for the sustainable development of regional tourism. Environmental problems caused by tourism development threaten the safety of ecosystems, and unsafe ecosystems also affect the sustainable development of tourism. By using the theories and methods of system dynamics, this paper analyzes the causal feedback relationship among all elements of the regional tourism eco-safety system and builds the system dynamics model of the regional tourism eco-safety system. Taking the tourism eco-safety system of Liaoning Province as an example, The main parameters of the model regulation, proposed different modes of tourism development in Liaoning Province. Finally, through the analysis, it is concluded that environmental protection, tourism investment, policies and regulations and the quality of tourism staff are the main factors affecting the safety of tourism ecosystem in Liaoning Province.