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21世纪以来,随着我国工业化的快速发展,特别是重化工业的持续高增长,我国能源和铁矿石、铜精矿、铝土矿等主要矿产资源的消耗快速增长,总量持续扩大,工业化进程中资源紧约束状态加剧,能矿资源保障矛盾日趋突出。基于未来10~20年我国工业化发展机遇与挑战并存、有利因素和不利因素交错的外部环境,预测到2025年,我国将基本实现工业化,2030年基本进入后工业化发展阶段。届时,我国的能源消费总量将分别比2012年增长50.6%和68.9%,除煤炭资源的保障支撑能力基本可持续外,铁矿石、铜铝矿、油气等其他矿产资源和能源保障能力将面临较大考验。
Since the 21st century, with the rapid industrialization in our country, especially the continuous high growth of heavy chemical industry, the consumption of major mineral resources such as iron ore, iron ore, copper concentrate and bauxite in our country has been rapidly increasing, In the process of industrialization, the state of tight resources has been aggravated, and conflicts between energy resources and mining resources have become increasingly prominent. Based on the external environment in which the opportunities and challenges of industrialization development in our country will coexist in the next 10-20 years and the favorable and unfavorable factors are staggered, it is predicted that by 2025 China will basically realize industrialization and basically enter the stage of post-industrialization in 2030. By then, the total energy consumption in China will increase by 50.6% and 68.9% respectively over 2012. Apart from the basically sustainable support of the coal resources, other mineral resources and energy security capabilities such as iron ore, copper and aluminum, oil and gas will be saved Face greater test.